1)
Incremental change:
This
vision of the future sees private ownership remaining the norm as consumers opt
for the forms of privacy, flexibility, security, and convenience that come with
owning a vehicle. While incorporating driver-assist technologies, this future
state assumes that fully autonomous drive doesn’t completely displace
driver-controlled vehicles anytime soon.
2)
A world of carsharing:
The
second future state anticipates continued growth of shared access to vehicles
through ridesharing and car sharing. Economic scale and increased competition
drive the expansion of shared vehicle services into new geographic territories
and more specialized customer segments. As shared mobility serves a greater
proportion of local transportation needs, multivehicle households can begin
reducing the number of cars they own, while others may eventually abandon
ownership altogether.
3)
The driverless revolution:
The third state is one in which autonomous drive technology* proves viable,
safe, convenient, and economical, yet private ownership continues to prevail.
Drivers still prefer owning their own vehicles but seek driverless
functionality for its safety and convenience. This future will see a
proliferation of highly customized, personalized vehicles catering to families
or individuals with specific needs.
4)
A new age of autonomy:
The
fourth future state anticipates a convergence of both the autonomous and
vehicle sharing trends. Mobility management companies and fleet operators offer
a range of passenger experiences to meet widely varied needs at differentiated
price points. Taking off first in urban areas but spreading to the suburbs,
this future state provides seamless mobility.
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